WASDE Lowers Milk Production Forecast

The milk production forecast for 2019 is lowered from last month as higher milk cow numbers are more than offset by lower expected growth in milk per cow for the year. The 2019 fat basis import forecast is unchanged from last month, but the export forecast is lowered on slower expected shipments of butterfat products and whey products.

On a skim-solids basis, the current import forecast is raised on higher imports of milk protein products and a number of other dairy products. The skim-solids basis export forecast is lowered from last month on lower shipments of whey products, lactose, and nonfat dry milk (NDM).
The annual product price forecast for cheese is raised from last month on higher current prices and expected stronger demand. Butter, NDM, and whey prices are reduced from the previous month on current prices and expected weaker demand. The Class III price is raised on the higher cheese price forecast while the Class IV price is reduced on lower NDM and butter price forecasts.

The all milk price forecast is raised to $17.25 to $17.75 per cwt.


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