USDA Forecast 2020 Milks Holds At $18.85/cwt

Milk production forecasts for 2019 are raised on higher cow numbers and stronger growth in
milk per cow. For 2020, expected continued gains in milk per cow supported an increase in
the milk production forecast in this weeks WASDE report.
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Siouxland Agricultural Lenders Seminar Nov. 7 near Orange City

Registration Now Open for Upcoming Seminar

Agricultural lenders will receive current useful, research-based information during the Siouxland Agricultural Lender’s Seminar on Thursday, Nov. 7 with registration at 8:45 a.m. and programing from 9:00 a.m. to 3:45 p.m. at the Triple Box near Orange City. The seminar will present current information to assist lenders and farm financial advisors in their portfolio management, which is especially important in this era of continued market variability.

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USDA Predicts 2020 All-Milk Price At $18.90

Due to recent declines in milk cow numbers, relatively high slaughter levels, and higher expected feed prices, milk production forecasts have been lowered for 2019 and 2020 in the USDA June World Agricultural Outlook. Dairy exports were relatively weak in April, and export forecasts have been lowered for both 2019 and 2020. The all-milk price forecast for 2019 is $18.00 per cwt, 5 cents lower than last month’s forecast. The all-milk price forecast for 2020 is $18.90 per cwt, 10 cents higher than last month’s forecast.

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WASDE Predicts Milk Production and prices Up for 2020

The May 10 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate report  has milk production for 2020 forecast higher than 2019. Dairy herds are expected to begin to expand as producers respond to higher milk prices and lower feed costs. Milk per cow is expected to continue increasing, and the forecast also reflects the one extra day due to leap year.

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WASDE Lowers Milk Production Forecast; Raises All Milk Price Forecast

For 2019, The March 8 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates lowered the milk production forecast on smaller expected dairy cow numbers.

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WASDE Report Lowers Production and Price Forecast

The milk production forecasts for 2018 and 2019 are reduced from the previous month on lower cow numbers; however, stronger growth in milk per cow is expected to partially offset smaller
dairy cow numbers.
The 2018 fat basis import forecast is unchanged from the previous month, but is reduced for 2019 on lower imports of milk protein concentrates. Fat basis export forecasts for 2018 and 2019 are unchanged from last month.

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US Dairy Exports Equal 17.3 Percent of US Production

U.S. dairy exports set a new record high in March on a total volume basis surpassing the previous record high set in March 2014. Exports of whey protein concentrate and lactose each hit all- time highs. On a total milk solids basis, exports were equivalent to 17.3 percent of U.S. milk production.

Suppliers shipped 204,453 tons of milk powder, cheese, butterfat, whey and lactose during the month, up 26 percent from March 2017. U.S. exports were valued at $510 million, 8 percent greater than in March 2017 and the highest total value since April 2015.

Ingredient sales drove much of the gains. Shipments of nonfat dry milk/skim milk powder (NDM/SMP) to Southeast Asia were nearly double the prior-year level and sales to Mexico were the second-most ever. Shipments of lactose to China increased by 57 percent during the month and were at a record high.

Overall NDM/SMP exports were 67,154 tons, up 38 percent from last year. Sales to Mexico increased 43 percent from the previous year.  Continue reading “US Dairy Exports Equal 17.3 Percent of US Production”

WASDE Report Gloomy For Dairy

The April 10 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates showed the milk production forecast for 2018 is unchanged from last month. The 2018 import forecast is reduced slightly on a fat basis, but is unchanged on a skim-solids basis.
Exports on fat basis are unchanged from last month, but skim-solids-basis exports are raised on stronger sales of nonfat dry milk and skim milk powder, and lactose.
The annual product price forecast for cheese is unchanged at the midpoint although the range is narrowed. Butter prices are expected to increase more slowly in the second half of the year and the price forecast is reduced. The nonfat dry milk (NDM) price is reduced slightly on current prices. The annual whey price forecast is lowered on larger supplies and weaker demand.
The Class III price is lowered on the lower whey price while the Class IV price is down on lower NDM and butter price forecasts. The all milk price forecast is lowered to $15.60 to $16.10 per cwt.
The full WASDE report can be found at REPORT

December WASDE Report Sees Gloomy Forecast For Dairy

The milk production forecast is lowered for 2017 on slower growth in milk per cow. The slower growth in milk per cow is expected to carry into 2018 and combined with an expected slower rate of growth in cow numbers, the 2018 milk production forecast is lowered- that was the good news.

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