The milk production forecasts for 2019 and 2020 are reduced from last month on expectations of a smaller dairy herd and slower growth in milk per cow. For 2019, the fat basis import forecast is raised from last month on strong demand for imported butter, while the fat basis export forecast is reduced slightly. The skim-solid basis import forecast for 2019 is raised on higher imports of milk protein concentrates and other dairy products. The 2019 skim-solids basis export forecast is reduced primarily on weaker-than-expected sales of nonfat dry milk (NDM). For 2020, the fat basis import forecast is raised on continued strong import demand for butter, while the fat basis export forecast is reduced on slowing sales of butterfat. The skim-solids basis import forecast for 2020 is raised, but the export forecast is lowered on expected continued weak demand for NDM and increased global competition.
Dairy producers and others involved in production agriculture are reminded that registration for the Financial Impairment on the Farm Webinar and the Planning for Profitability program closes Friday, July 26. Iowa State University Extension and Outreach Dairy Specialist Fred M. Hall says that both programs are being hosted at no charge to participants. Producers and personnel from agribusinesses are welcome to register for one or both of these educational programs.
Planning for Profitability program for farmers and agribusinesses
One-day program will focus on planning ahead while facing shrinking margins in production agriculture
ORANGE CITY, Iowa – Iowa State University (ISU) Extension and Outreach invites local farmers and agribusiness professionals to attend a free one-day Planning for Profitability workshop in either Rock Rapids or Decorah.
Planning for Profitability in a Changing Dairy Industry will focus on options to increase profitability when facing shrinking margins; risk management strategies and how they can benefit dairy operations; changes and requirements that ag lenders may be asking for when reviewing loan requests; and a review of the milk market. Continue reading “Planning For Profitability Program Set for Aug. 1 in Rock Rapids”
Due to recent declines in milk cow numbers, relatively high slaughter levels, and higher expected feed prices, milk production forecasts have been lowered for 2019 and 2020 in the USDA June World Agricultural Outlook. Dairy exports were relatively weak in April, and export forecasts have been lowered for both 2019 and 2020. The all-milk price forecast for 2019 is $18.00 per cwt, 5 cents lower than last month’s forecast. The all-milk price forecast for 2020 is $18.90 per cwt, 10 cents higher than last month’s forecast.
The May 10 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate report has milk production for 2020 forecast higher than 2019. Dairy herds are expected to begin to expand as producers respond to higher milk prices and lower feed costs. Milk per cow is expected to continue increasing, and the forecast also reflects the one extra day due to leap year.
The monthly dairy outlook with Mark Stephenson and Bob Cropp is available Here
For 2019, The March 8 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates lowered the milk production forecast on smaller expected dairy cow numbers.
February report with Bob Cropp and Mark Stephenson can be seen here
The December Outlook can be seen here
The November 15 Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook from the USDA Economic Research Service showed September ending stocks indicate that third-quarter cold and dried-egg storage for U.S. animal protein commodities changed compared to 2017 as follows: beef (up almost 3 percent), pork (down nearly 5 percent), lamb (up almost 29 percent), broilers (up more than 17 percent), turkey (down less than 1 percent), eggs (down nearly 15 percent), cheese (up more than 4 percent), and butter (up almost 11 percent).